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Nik Prassas's avatar

I’ve planned an essay which I think should be a good complement to this - thanks for writing it Patrick, much to chew over.

Stephen Fitzpatrick's avatar

This is an astonishing essay. The point that resonated the most with me is the notion that whenever we interact with and produce some kind of output with an LLM, we are essentially drawing on the sum total of whatever data the model was trained on which means human thoughts and human writing. It's no wonder the ultimate goal of these companies is to eventually get every single thing ever written by humans into them - scaling still seems to be the way some believe they will reach further breakthroughs while others are recognizing that they are already starting to hit some walls. Regardless, most believe the technical obstacles to AGI will be overcome - how soon is the subject of much dispute - but the disconnect between what the public understands when it comes to AI and what Silicon Valley and the actual people building these models believe is widening more and more. I just started More Everything Forever by Adam Becker and I think he captures the utter alien worldview of so many of the people in tech that most are unaware of. I am going to hear Ray Kurzweil (The Singularity is Nearer) speak on Thursday and he is a perfect example of the messianic vision of AI held by some very, very smart people whose predictions can seem downright loony to the rest of us. I enjoyed your piece but I tend to see AI in much narrower terms at the moment, though it's ability to manipulate and rearrange text in meaningful and astonishing ways still shocks me on a daily basis, but I'm not sure chat bots are the way we will ultimately interact with it in the long run.

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